Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Peterhead win with a probability of 45.82%. A win for Alloa Athletic had a probability of 27.48% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Peterhead win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.95%) and 2-0 (8.66%). The likeliest Alloa Athletic win was 0-1 (8.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.62%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Peterhead would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Peterhead | Draw | Alloa Athletic |
| 45.82% | 26.7% | 27.48% |
| Both teams to score 48.83% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.38% | 55.62% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.22% | 76.78% |
| Peterhead Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.78% | 24.22% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.43% | 58.57% |
| Alloa Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.44% | 35.56% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.67% | 72.33% |
| Score Analysis |
| Peterhead | Draw | Alloa Athletic |
| 1-0 @ 12.21% 2-1 @ 8.95% 2-0 @ 8.66% 3-1 @ 4.23% 3-0 @ 4.09% 3-2 @ 2.19% 4-1 @ 1.5% 4-0 @ 1.45% Other @ 2.54% Total : 45.82% | 1-1 @ 12.62% 0-0 @ 8.61% 2-2 @ 4.63% Other @ 0.83% Total : 26.69% | 0-1 @ 8.91% 1-2 @ 6.53% 0-2 @ 4.6% 1-3 @ 2.25% 2-3 @ 1.6% 0-3 @ 1.59% Other @ 2.01% Total : 27.48% |