Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Greenock Morton win with a probability of 56.67%. A draw had a probability of 23.2% and a win for Alloa Athletic had a probability of 20.11%.
The most likely scoreline for a Greenock Morton win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.25%) and 2-1 (9.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.04%), while for an Alloa Athletic win it was 0-1 (6.21%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Greenock Morton | Draw | Alloa Athletic |
| 56.67% | 23.22% | 20.11% |
| Both teams to score 51.21% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.51% | 48.49% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.38% | 70.62% |
| Greenock Morton Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.1% | 16.9% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 53.06% | 46.94% |
| Alloa Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.62% | 38.38% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.87% | 75.13% |
| Score Analysis |
| Greenock Morton | Draw | Alloa Athletic |
| 1-0 @ 11.53% 2-0 @ 10.25% 2-1 @ 9.82% 3-0 @ 6.08% 3-1 @ 5.82% 3-2 @ 2.79% 4-0 @ 2.7% 4-1 @ 2.59% 4-2 @ 1.24% 5-0 @ 0.96% 5-1 @ 0.92% Other @ 1.99% Total : 56.67% | 1-1 @ 11.04% 0-0 @ 6.49% 2-2 @ 4.7% Other @ 0.99% Total : 23.22% | 0-1 @ 6.21% 1-2 @ 5.29% 0-2 @ 2.97% 1-3 @ 1.69% 2-3 @ 1.5% 0-3 @ 0.95% Other @ 1.5% Total : 20.11% |