Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Peterhead win with a probability of 37.25%. A win for Dumbarton had a probability of 33.8% and a draw had a probability of 29%.
The most likely scoreline for a Peterhead win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.65%) and 0-2 (7.11%). The likeliest Dumbarton win was 1-0 (11.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.36%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Dumbarton | Draw | Peterhead |
| 33.8% | 28.95% | 37.25% |
| Both teams to score 44.91% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 38.26% | 61.74% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 18.46% | 81.54% |
| Dumbarton Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.89% | 34.11% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.2% | 70.8% |
| Peterhead Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.16% | 31.84% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.72% | 68.28% |
| Score Analysis |
| Dumbarton | Draw | Peterhead |
| 1-0 @ 11.68% 2-1 @ 7.19% 2-0 @ 6.28% 3-1 @ 2.58% 3-0 @ 2.25% 3-2 @ 1.48% Other @ 2.34% Total : 33.8% | 1-1 @ 13.36% 0-0 @ 10.86% 2-2 @ 4.11% Other @ 0.61% Total : 28.94% | 0-1 @ 12.42% 1-2 @ 7.65% 0-2 @ 7.11% 1-3 @ 2.92% 0-3 @ 2.71% 2-3 @ 1.57% Other @ 2.86% Total : 37.24% |