Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a East Fife win with a probability of 59.6%. A draw had a probability of 22.6% and a win for Dumbarton had a probability of 17.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a East Fife win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.1%) and 2-1 (9.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.74%), while for a Dumbarton win it was 0-1 (5.89%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that East Fife would win this match.
| Result | ||
| East Fife | Draw | Dumbarton |
| 59.6% | 22.6% | 17.8% |
| Both teams to score 49.18% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.82% | 49.18% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.76% | 71.24% |
| East Fife Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.87% | 16.12% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 54.45% | 45.55% |
| Dumbarton Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.63% | 41.36% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 22.12% | 77.88% |
| Score Analysis |
| East Fife | Draw | Dumbarton |
| 1-0 @ 12.17% 2-0 @ 11.1% 2-1 @ 9.8% 3-0 @ 6.76% 3-1 @ 5.96% 4-0 @ 3.08% 4-1 @ 2.72% 3-2 @ 2.63% 4-2 @ 1.2% 5-0 @ 1.13% 5-1 @ 0.99% Other @ 2.05% Total : 59.6% | 1-1 @ 10.74% 0-0 @ 6.67% 2-2 @ 4.33% Other @ 0.86% Total : 22.59% | 0-1 @ 5.89% 1-2 @ 4.74% 0-2 @ 2.6% 1-3 @ 1.4% 2-3 @ 1.27% Other @ 1.9% Total : 17.8% |