Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dunfermline Athletic win with a probability of 50.34%. A win for Alloa Athletic had a probability of 25.46% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dunfermline Athletic win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.6%) and 0-2 (8.57%). The likeliest Alloa Athletic win was 1-0 (6.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.46%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood.
Result | ||
Alloa Athletic | Draw | Dunfermline Athletic |
25.46% | 24.21% | 50.34% |
Both teams to score 54.78% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.97% | 47.03% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.73% | 69.28% |
Alloa Athletic Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.39% | 32.61% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.85% | 69.15% |
Dunfermline Athletic Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.29% | 18.72% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
49.92% | 50.08% |
Score Analysis |
Alloa Athletic | Draw | Dunfermline Athletic |
1-0 @ 6.84% 2-1 @ 6.42% 2-0 @ 3.83% 3-1 @ 2.4% 3-2 @ 2.01% 3-0 @ 1.43% Other @ 2.52% Total : 25.46% | 1-1 @ 11.46% 0-0 @ 6.1% 2-2 @ 5.38% 3-3 @ 1.12% Other @ 0.14% Total : 24.21% | 0-1 @ 10.22% 1-2 @ 9.6% 0-2 @ 8.57% 1-3 @ 5.36% 0-3 @ 4.79% 2-3 @ 3.01% 1-4 @ 2.25% 0-4 @ 2.01% 2-4 @ 1.26% Other @ 3.27% Total : 50.33% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | FalkirkFalkirk | 17 | 12 | 2 | 3 | 33 | 14 | 19 | 38 |
2 | Livingston | 16 | 9 | 6 | 1 | 21 | 10 | 11 | 33 |
3 | Ayr UnitedAyr | 17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 28 | 17 | 11 | 31 |
4 | Partick ThistlePartick | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 18 | 11 | 7 | 26 |
5 | Queen's ParkQueen's Park | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 19 | 18 | 1 | 25 |
6 | Hamilton AcademicalHamilton | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 23 | 29 | -6 | 18 |
7 | Raith Rovers | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 15 | 21 | -6 | 18 |
8 | Greenock MortonMorton | 16 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 13 | 21 | -8 | 16 |
9 | Dunfermline AthleticDunfermline | 17 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 14 | 20 | -6 | 15 |
10 | AirdrieoniansAirdrieonians | 16 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 8 | 31 | -23 | 6 |
> Scottish Championship Full Table |