Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dunfermline Athletic win with a probability of 50.34%. A win for Alloa Athletic had a probability of 25.46% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dunfermline Athletic win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.6%) and 0-2 (8.57%). The likeliest Alloa Athletic win was 1-0 (6.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.46%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Alloa Athletic | Draw | Dunfermline Athletic |
| 25.46% | 24.21% | 50.34% |
| Both teams to score 54.78% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.97% | 47.03% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.73% | 69.28% |
| Alloa Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.39% | 32.61% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.85% | 69.15% |
| Dunfermline Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.29% | 18.72% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.92% | 50.08% |
| Score Analysis |
| Alloa Athletic | Draw | Dunfermline Athletic |
| 1-0 @ 6.84% 2-1 @ 6.42% 2-0 @ 3.83% 3-1 @ 2.4% 3-2 @ 2.01% 3-0 @ 1.43% Other @ 2.52% Total : 25.46% | 1-1 @ 11.46% 0-0 @ 6.1% 2-2 @ 5.38% 3-3 @ 1.12% Other @ 0.14% Total : 24.21% | 0-1 @ 10.22% 1-2 @ 9.6% 0-2 @ 8.57% 1-3 @ 5.36% 0-3 @ 4.79% 2-3 @ 3.01% 1-4 @ 2.25% 0-4 @ 2.01% 2-4 @ 1.26% Other @ 3.27% Total : 50.33% |