Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dunfermline Athletic win with a probability of 57.43%. A draw had a probability of 23.5% and a win for Arbroath had a probability of 19.04%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dunfermline Athletic win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.9%) and 2-1 (9.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.16%), while for an Arbroath win it was 0-1 (6.42%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dunfermline Athletic would win this match.
Result | ||
Dunfermline Athletic | Draw | Arbroath |
57.43% | 23.53% | 19.04% |
Both teams to score 48.58% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
48.88% | 51.12% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.03% | 72.97% |
Dunfermline Athletic Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.42% | 17.58% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
51.87% | 48.13% |
Arbroath Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
58.94% | 41.06% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
22.39% | 77.61% |
Score Analysis |
Dunfermline Athletic | Draw | Arbroath |
1-0 @ 12.54% 2-0 @ 10.9% 2-1 @ 9.71% 3-0 @ 6.32% 3-1 @ 5.63% 4-0 @ 2.75% 3-2 @ 2.51% 4-1 @ 2.45% 4-2 @ 1.09% 5-0 @ 0.96% Other @ 2.57% Total : 57.42% | 1-1 @ 11.16% 0-0 @ 7.22% 2-2 @ 4.32% Other @ 0.82% Total : 23.52% | 0-1 @ 6.42% 1-2 @ 4.97% 0-2 @ 2.86% 1-3 @ 1.48% 2-3 @ 1.28% Other @ 2.03% Total : 19.04% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Dundee UnitedDundee Utd | 34 | 21 | 8 | 5 | 69 | 22 | 47 | 71 |
2 | Raith Rovers | 34 | 19 | 8 | 7 | 53 | 42 | 11 | 65 |
3 | Partick ThistlePartick | 34 | 14 | 12 | 8 | 62 | 50 | 12 | 54 |
4 | AirdrieoniansAirdrieonians | 34 | 15 | 6 | 13 | 44 | 42 | 2 | 51 |
5 | Greenock MortonMorton | 34 | 12 | 8 | 14 | 42 | 43 | -1 | 44 |
6 | Dunfermline AthleticDunfermline | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 39 | 44 | -5 | 43 |
7 | Ayr UnitedAyr | 34 | 12 | 6 | 16 | 50 | 58 | -8 | 42 |
8 | Inverness Caledonian ThistleInverness | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 37 | 38 | -1 | 38 |
9 | Queen's ParkQueen's Park | 34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | 43 | 56 | -13 | 37 |
10 | Arbroath | 34 | 6 | 5 | 23 | 35 | 79 | -44 | 23 |
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