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Airdrieonians
Ayr United
Dunfermline Athletic
Falkirk
Greenock Morton
Hamilton logo
Livingston logo
Partick Thistle
Queen's Park
Raith Rovers
Raith Rovers
Scottish Championship | Gameweek 19
Mar 30, 2021 at 7.05pm UK
Stark's Park
Dunfermline Athletic

Raith Rovers
5 - 1
Dunfermline

Hendry (17'), Vaughan (31', 40'), Gullan (48', 77')
Vaughan (79')
FT(HT: 3-1)
O'Hara (22')
O'Hara (35'), Comrie (58'), Mayo (69'), Edwards (71'), McCann (78'), Murray (79')

The Match

Match Report

Lewis Vaughan and James Gullan scored twice each in a 5-1 win.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Raith Rovers win with a probability of 46.07%. A win for Dunfermline Athletic had a probability of 29% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Raith Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.28%) and 2-0 (7.76%). The likeliest Dunfermline Athletic win was 0-1 (7.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.8%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Raith Rovers would win this match.

Result
Raith RoversDrawDunfermline Athletic
46.07%24.93%29%
Both teams to score 55.29%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.31%47.69%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.11%69.89%
Raith Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.25%20.75%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.62%53.38%
Dunfermline Athletic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.76%30.24%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.6%66.41%
Score Analysis
    Raith Rovers 46.07%
    Dunfermline Athletic 29%
    Draw 24.93%
Raith RoversDrawDunfermline Athletic
1-0 @ 9.87%
2-1 @ 9.28%
2-0 @ 7.76%
3-1 @ 4.87%
3-0 @ 4.07%
3-2 @ 2.91%
4-1 @ 1.91%
4-0 @ 1.6%
4-2 @ 1.14%
Other @ 2.66%
Total : 46.07%
1-1 @ 11.8%
0-0 @ 6.27%
2-2 @ 5.55%
3-3 @ 1.16%
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 24.93%
0-1 @ 7.5%
1-2 @ 7.06%
0-2 @ 4.49%
1-3 @ 2.81%
2-3 @ 2.21%
0-3 @ 1.79%
Other @ 3.14%
Total : 29%

Head to Head
Feb 3, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 11
Dunfermline
4-1
Raith Rovers
McManus (44'), Comrie (50'), Murray (66', 87')
Wilson (62')
Spencer (64')
Abraham (39'), Tumilty (60')
Dec 5, 2020 3pm
Gameweek 6
Raith Rovers
2-2
Dunfermline
Duku (27'), Musonda (65')
Musonda (50'), Matthews (79'), Armstrong (89')
Murray (73'), McManus (74')
McInroy (28'), Mayo (48'), Wilson (54')
Apr 8, 2017 3pm
Dunfermline
1-0
Raith Rovers
Higginbotham (49' pen.)
Talbot (64'), Higginbotham (67'), Wedderburn (84')

Thomson (15'), Skacel (73'), Barr (75'), Davidson (90')
Jan 2, 2017 3pm
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1FalkirkFalkirk17122333141938
2Livingston1696121101133
3Ayr UnitedAyr1794428171131
4Partick ThistlePartick167541811726
5Queen's ParkQueen's Park177461918125
6Hamilton AcademicalHamilton165382329-618
7Raith Rovers165381521-618
8Greenock MortonMorton163761321-816
9Dunfermline AthleticDunfermline1743101420-615
10AirdrieoniansAirdrieonians161312831-236


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