Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Raith Rovers win with a probability of 55.91%. A draw had a probability of 22.3% and a win for Greenock Morton had a probability of 21.81%.
The most likely scoreline for a Raith Rovers win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.43%) and 2-0 (8.96%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.41%), while for a Greenock Morton win it was 1-2 (5.74%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Raith Rovers would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Raith Rovers | Draw | Greenock Morton |
| 55.91% | 22.28% | 21.81% |
| Both teams to score 56.82% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.72% | 42.28% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.32% | 64.68% |
| Raith Rovers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.02% | 14.98% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 56.58% | 43.42% |
| Greenock Morton Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.83% | 33.17% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.22% | 69.78% |
| Score Analysis |
| Raith Rovers | Draw | Greenock Morton |
| 2-1 @ 9.88% 1-0 @ 9.43% 2-0 @ 8.96% 3-1 @ 6.25% 3-0 @ 5.67% 3-2 @ 3.45% 4-1 @ 2.97% 4-0 @ 2.69% 4-2 @ 1.64% 5-1 @ 1.13% 5-0 @ 1.02% Other @ 2.83% Total : 55.91% | 1-1 @ 10.41% 2-2 @ 5.45% 0-0 @ 4.97% 3-3 @ 1.27% Other @ 0.18% Total : 22.28% | 1-2 @ 5.74% 0-1 @ 5.48% 0-2 @ 3.03% 1-3 @ 2.11% 2-3 @ 2.01% 0-3 @ 1.11% Other @ 2.32% Total : 21.81% |