Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dunfermline Athletic win with a probability of 45.68%. A win for Queen of the South had a probability of 28.77% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dunfermline Athletic win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.18%) and 0-2 (8.02%). The likeliest Queen of the South win was 1-0 (8.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.14%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Queen of the South | Draw | Dunfermline Athletic |
| 28.77% | 25.55% | 45.68% |
| Both teams to score 53.13% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.55% | 50.44% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.62% | 72.37% |
| Queen of the South Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.17% | 31.83% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.73% | 68.26% |
| Dunfermline Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.93% | 22.06% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.59% | 55.41% |
| Score Analysis |
| Queen of the South | Draw | Dunfermline Athletic |
| 1-0 @ 8.04% 2-1 @ 6.96% 2-0 @ 4.6% 3-1 @ 2.65% 3-2 @ 2.01% 3-0 @ 1.76% Other @ 2.76% Total : 28.77% | 1-1 @ 12.14% 0-0 @ 7.02% 2-2 @ 5.26% 3-3 @ 1.01% Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.54% | 0-1 @ 10.61% 1-2 @ 9.18% 0-2 @ 8.02% 1-3 @ 4.63% 0-3 @ 4.04% 2-3 @ 2.65% 1-4 @ 1.75% 0-4 @ 1.53% 2-4 @ 1% Other @ 2.28% Total : 45.67% |