Airdrieonians
Arbroath
Ayr United
Dunfermline Athletic
Greenock Morton
Partick Thistle
Queen's Park
Raith Rovers
Ross County
St Johnstone logo
Queen of the South
Scottish Championship | Gameweek 18
Feb 27, 2021 at 3pm UK
Palmerston Park
Dunfermline Athletic

QotS
1 - 0
Dunfermline

Gibson (50')
Mebude (63'), McGrory (75'), Gibson (81')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Mayo (28'), Whittaker (34'), Watson (85')
Mayo (90')

The Match

Match Report

Dunfermline missed a first-half penalty as the Doonhamers extended their unbeaten run to four games.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dunfermline Athletic win with a probability of 45.68%. A win for Queen of the South had a probability of 28.77% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Dunfermline Athletic win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.18%) and 0-2 (8.02%). The likeliest Queen of the South win was 1-0 (8.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.14%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8% likelihood.

Result
Queen of the SouthDrawDunfermline Athletic
28.77%25.55%45.68%
Both teams to score 53.13%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.55%50.44%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.62%72.37%
Queen of the South Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.17%31.83%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.73%68.26%
Dunfermline Athletic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.93%22.06%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.59%55.41%
Score Analysis
    Queen of the South 28.77%
    Dunfermline Athletic 45.67%
    Draw 25.54%
Queen of the SouthDrawDunfermline Athletic
1-0 @ 8.04%
2-1 @ 6.96%
2-0 @ 4.6%
3-1 @ 2.65%
3-2 @ 2.01%
3-0 @ 1.76%
Other @ 2.76%
Total : 28.77%
1-1 @ 12.14%
0-0 @ 7.02%
2-2 @ 5.26%
3-3 @ 1.01%
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 25.54%
0-1 @ 10.61%
1-2 @ 9.18%
0-2 @ 8.02%
1-3 @ 4.63%
0-3 @ 4.04%
2-3 @ 2.65%
1-4 @ 1.75%
0-4 @ 1.53%
2-4 @ 1%
Other @ 2.28%
Total : 45.67%