Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Queen of the South win with a probability of 47.77%. A win for Alloa Athletic had a probability of 27.57% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Queen of the South win was 0-1 with a probability of 10%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.42%) and 0-2 (8.07%). The likeliest Alloa Athletic win was 1-0 (7.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.66%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Alloa Athletic | Draw | Queen of the South |
| 27.57% | 24.65% | 47.77% |
| Both teams to score 55.18% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.64% | 47.36% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.42% | 69.58% |
| Alloa Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.88% | 31.12% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.56% | 67.45% |
| Queen of the South Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.12% | 19.89% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48% | 52% |
| Score Analysis |
| Alloa Athletic | Draw | Queen of the South |
| 1-0 @ 7.22% 2-1 @ 6.81% 2-0 @ 4.22% 3-1 @ 2.65% 3-2 @ 2.14% 3-0 @ 1.64% Other @ 2.89% Total : 27.57% | 1-1 @ 11.66% 0-0 @ 6.19% 2-2 @ 5.5% 3-3 @ 1.15% Other @ 0.15% Total : 24.65% | 0-1 @ 10% 1-2 @ 9.42% 0-2 @ 8.07% 1-3 @ 5.07% 0-3 @ 4.35% 2-3 @ 2.96% 1-4 @ 2.05% 0-4 @ 1.76% 2-4 @ 1.2% Other @ 2.9% Total : 47.77% |