Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dunfermline Athletic win with a probability of 54.65%. A draw had a probability of 22.9% and a win for Ayr United had a probability of 22.49%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dunfermline Athletic win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.84%) and 2-0 (9.01%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.75%), while for an Ayr United win it was 1-2 (5.87%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Dunfermline Athletic | Draw | Ayr United |
| 54.65% | 22.86% | 22.49% |
| Both teams to score 55.81% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.94% | 44.05% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.56% | 66.44% |
| Dunfermline Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.97% | 16.03% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 54.63% | 45.37% |
| Ayr United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.46% | 33.54% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.82% | 70.17% |
| Score Analysis |
| Dunfermline Athletic | Draw | Ayr United |
| 2-1 @ 9.84% 1-0 @ 9.84% 2-0 @ 9.01% 3-1 @ 6.01% 3-0 @ 5.5% 3-2 @ 3.28% 4-1 @ 2.75% 4-0 @ 2.52% 4-2 @ 1.5% 5-1 @ 1.01% 5-0 @ 0.92% Other @ 2.47% Total : 54.65% | 1-1 @ 10.75% 2-2 @ 5.38% 0-0 @ 5.37% 3-3 @ 1.2% Other @ 0.16% Total : 22.86% | 1-2 @ 5.87% 0-1 @ 5.87% 0-2 @ 3.21% 1-3 @ 2.14% 2-3 @ 1.96% 0-3 @ 1.17% Other @ 2.27% Total : 22.49% |