Scottish Championship Gameweek 14
Dunfermline
Jan 23, 2021 3.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Ayr

Dunfermline Athletic vs Ayr United - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Result

Form, Standings, Stats

Dunfermline Athletic

All competitions
Scottish Championship
Last game
Jan 15, 2021 7.45pm
Morton 0 - 0 Dunfermline
Goals scored
38
Top scorer
Declan McManus

Ayr United

All competitions
Scottish Championship
Last game
Jan 2, 2021 3.00pm
QotS 3 - 2 Ayr
Goals scored
31
Top scorer
Cammy Smith

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dunfermline Athletic win with a probability of 54.65%. A draw had a probability of 22.9% and a win for Ayr United had a probability of 22.49%.

The most likely scoreline for a Dunfermline Athletic win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.84%) and 2-0 (9.01%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.75%), while for an Ayr United win it was 1-2 (5.87%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood.

Result

Dunfermline Athletic 54.65%
Draw 22.86%
Ayr United 22.49%

Both Teams to Score: 

55.81%

Goals

Over 2.5 55.94%
Under 2.5 44.05%
Over 3.5 33.56%
Under 3.5 66.44%

Dunfermline Athletic Goals

Over 0.5 83.97%
Under 0.5 16.03%
Over 1.5 54.63%
Under 1.5 45.37%

Ayr United Goals

Over 0.5 66.46%
Under 0.5 33.54%
Over 1.5 29.82%
Under 1.5 70.17%

Score analysis

Dunfermline Athletic 54.65%
Draw 22.86%
Ayr United 22.49%
Dunfermline Athletic
2-1 @ 9.84%
1-0 @ 9.84%
2-0 @ 9.01%
3-1 @ 6.01%
3-0 @ 5.5%
3-2 @ 3.28%
4-1 @ 2.75%
4-0 @ 2.52%
4-2 @ 1.5%
5-1 @ 1.01%
Other @ 3.39%
Total : 54.65%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.75%
2-2 @ 5.38%
0-0 @ 5.37%
3-3 @ 1.2%
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 22.86%
Ayr United
1-2 @ 5.87%
0-1 @ 5.87%
0-2 @ 3.21%
1-3 @ 2.14%
2-3 @ 1.96%
0-3 @ 1.17%
Other @ 2.27%
Total : 22.49%

Head to Head

Scottish Championship Gameweek 4
Ayr
Nov 7, 2020 3.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Dunfermline
  • Bruce Anderson 66' yellowcard
  • Andy Murdoch 89' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Paul Watson 69'
  • yellowcard Kerr McInroy 85'
Scottish Championship Gameweek 32
Ayr
Apr 4, 2020 3.00pm
Somerset Park
Dunfermline
Scottish Championship Gameweek 20
Dunfermline
Jan 4, 2020 3.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT
Ayr
  • yellowcard Andy Geggan 11'
  • goal Craig Moore 38'
  • yellowcard Ross Docherty 82'
Scottish Championship Gameweek 14
Ayr
Dec 3, 2019 7.45pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Somerset Park (Ayr)
Dunfermline
  • Michael Moffat 52' yellowcard
  • Daniel Harvie 70' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Tom Beadling 45'
  • goal Kevin Nisbet 68'
Scottish Championship Gameweek 9
Dunfermline
Oct 19, 2019 3.00pm
3
2
HT : 1 1
FT
Ayr
  • Greg Kiltie 28' goal
  • Lee Ashcroft 63' goal
  • Kyle Turner 78' yellowcard
  • Andy Ryan 84' goal
  • yellowcard Aaron Muirhead 9'
  • goal Lee Ashcroft 43' (OG)
  • goal Alan Forrest 57'
  • yellowcard Luke McCowan 68'
  • yellowcard Ross Docherty 77'
  • yellowcard Andy Geggan 93'
Scottish Championship Gameweek 31
Dunfermline
Mar 29, 2019 7.05pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT East End Park (Dunfermline)
Ayr
  • Daniel Devine 69' yellowcard
  • Fayssal El-Bakhtaoui 95' yellowcard
  • goal Declan McDaid 31'
  • yellowcard Daniel Harvie 80'
  • yellowcard Mark Kerr 94'

Form Data

Morton 0 - 0 Dunfermline
Inverness 1 - 1 Dunfermline
Dunfermline 1 - 0 Arbroath
Dundee 3 - 3 Dunfermline
Dunfermline 1 - 1 St Johnstone
Dunfermline 1 - 2 Morton
QotS 3 - 2 Ayr
Ayr 1 - 1 Morton
Hearts 5 - 3 Ayr
Arbroath 2 - 1 Ayr
Ayr 0 - 0 Raith Rovers
Alloa 0 - 2 Ayr