Jan 2, 2021 3.00pm

3

2

HT : 2 1

FT

Ayo Obileye 29'
Connor Shields 32'
Connor Shields 61'
Gregor Buchanan 78'
Connor Shields 90'+1'

Paddy Reading 7'
Michael Miller 29'
Sam Roscoe 45'
Gregor Buchanan 90' (OG)

Queen of the South vs Ayr United - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Result

Queen of the South edge five-goal thriller with Ayr

Queen of the South edge five-goal thriller with Ayr

Football | 02 Jan 2021 17:09

Form, Standings, Stats

Queen of the South

All competitions

W
L
L
L
L
W

Scottish Championship

W
L
L
L
L
W

Last game

Dec 29, 2020 7.45pm

Raith Rovers 0 - 2 QotS

Goals scored

38

Top scorer

Connor Shields

Ayr United

All competitions

D
L
L
D
W
L

Scottish Championship

D
L
L
D
W
W

Last game

Dec 29, 2020 6.00pm

Ayr 1 - 1 Morton

Goals scored

31

Top scorer

Cammy Smith

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ayr United win with a probability of 37.62%. A win for Queen of the South had a probability of 37.41% and a draw had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for an Ayr United win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.2%) and 0-2 (5.87%). The likeliest Queen of the South win was 2-1 (8.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.7%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood.

Result

Queen of the South 37.41%

Draw 24.97%

Ayr United 37.62%

Both Teams to Score:

57.89%

Goals

Over 2.5 54.51%

Under 2.5 45.49%

Over 3.5 32.17%

Under 3.5 67.82%

Queen of the South Goals

Over 0.5 76.03%

Under 0.5 23.97%

Over 1.5 41.79%

Under 1.5 58.21%

Ayr United Goals

Over 0.5 76.14%

Under 0.5 23.86%

Over 1.5 41.95%

Under 1.5 58.05%

Score analysis

Queen of the South 37.41%

Draw 24.96%

Ayr United 37.62%

Queen of the South

2-1 @ 8.36%

1-0 @ 8.17%

2-0 @ 5.83%

3-1 @ 3.98%

3-2 @ 2.85%

3-0 @ 2.78%

4-1 @ 1.42%

4-2 @ 1.02%

Other @ 3%

Total : 37.41%

Draw

1-1 @ 11.7%

2-2 @ 5.99%

0-0 @ 5.72%

3-3 @ 1.36%

Other @ 0.19%

Total : 24.96%

Ayr United

1-2 @ 8.39%

0-1 @ 8.2%

0-2 @ 5.87%

1-3 @ 4.01%

2-3 @ 2.86%

0-3 @ 2.81%

1-4 @ 1.44%

2-4 @ 1.03%

0-4 @ 1.01%

Other @ 2.03%

Total : 37.62%

Head to Head

Oct 17, 2020 3.00pm

2

1

HT : 2 0

FT

Michael Miller 13'
Michael Miller 18'
Paddy Reading 33'
Luke McCowan 61'
Sam Roscoe 73'
Luke McCowan 90'+1'

James Maxwell 22'
Stephen Dobbie 56'
James Maxwell 66'
Stephen Dobbie 69'

Mar 13, 2020 7.05pm

Palmerston Park

Dec 28, 2019 3.00pm

1

2

HT : 0 1

FT

Luke McCowan 44'
Andy Geggan 45'
Daniel Harvie 56'
Aaron Muirhead 58'
Craig Moore 63'
Aaron Muirhead 77'

Callum Semple 4'
Fayssal El Bakhtaoui 45'
Dan Pybus 45'
Stephen Dobbie 58'
Abdul Osman 76'

Nov 9, 2019 3.00pm

3

1

HT : 1 1

FT Palmerston Park (Dumfries)

Kevin Holt 18'
Kevin Holt 62'
Connor Murray 67'
Gary Oliver 74'
Stephen Dobbie 77'
Andrew McCarthy 79'

Michael Moffat 38'
Luke McCowan 78'
Aaron Muirhead 79'

Aug 24, 2019 3.00pm

1

0

HT : 1 0

FT

Stephen Kelly 26'
Andrew Geggan 76'

Faissal El Bakhtaoui 68'
Dan Pybus 82'

Apr 9, 2019 7.45pm

1

0

HT : 1 0

FT Somerset Park (Ayr)

Lawrence Shankland 43'
Liam Smith 54'
Lawrence Shankland 88'

Iain Wilson 52'

Form Data

Raith Rovers 0 - 2 QotS

QotS 1 - 3 Dundee

Morton 2 - 0 QotS

Hearts 6 - 1 QotS

QotS 0 - 3 Inverness

QotS 2 - 0 Alloa

Ayr 1 - 1 Morton

Hearts 5 - 3 Ayr

Arbroath 2 - 1 Ayr

Ayr 0 - 0 Raith Rovers

Alloa 0 - 2 Ayr

Livingston 4 - 0 Ayr