Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hearts win with a probability of 61.25%. A draw had a probability of 21.1% and a win for Queen of the South had a probability of 17.68%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hearts win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.19%) and 2-1 (9.96%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.94%), while for a Queen of the South win it was 0-1 (4.96%). The actual scoreline of 6-1 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hearts would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Hearts | Draw | Queen of the South |
| 61.25% | 21.07% | 17.68% |
| Both teams to score 53.88% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.2% | 42.8% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.8% | 65.2% |
| Hearts Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.52% | 13.48% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 59.5% | 40.5% |
| Queen of the South Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.28% | 37.72% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.5% | 74.5% |
| Score Analysis |
| Hearts | Draw | Queen of the South |
| 2-0 @ 10.21% 1-0 @ 10.19% 2-1 @ 9.96% 3-0 @ 6.82% 3-1 @ 6.65% 4-0 @ 3.42% 4-1 @ 3.33% 3-2 @ 3.24% 4-2 @ 1.62% 5-0 @ 1.37% 5-1 @ 1.34% Other @ 3.11% Total : 61.25% | 1-1 @ 9.94% 0-0 @ 5.09% 2-2 @ 4.85% 3-3 @ 1.05% Other @ 0.14% Total : 21.07% | 0-1 @ 4.96% 1-2 @ 4.84% 0-2 @ 2.42% 2-3 @ 1.58% 1-3 @ 1.57% Other @ 2.32% Total : 17.68% |