Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dunfermline Athletic win with a probability of 51.78%. A draw had a probability of 25% and a win for Queen of the South had a probability of 23.17%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dunfermline Athletic win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.71%) and 2-1 (9.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.89%), while for a Queen of the South win it was 0-1 (7.45%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dunfermline Athletic would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Dunfermline Athletic | Draw | Queen of the South |
| 51.78% | 25.05% | 23.17% |
| Both teams to score 49.76% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.53% | 52.47% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.85% | 74.15% |
| Dunfermline Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.74% | 20.26% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.39% | 52.6% |
| Queen of the South Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.41% | 37.59% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.63% | 74.37% |
| Score Analysis |
| Dunfermline Athletic | Draw | Queen of the South |
| 1-0 @ 12.15% 2-0 @ 9.71% 2-1 @ 9.5% 3-0 @ 5.17% 3-1 @ 5.05% 3-2 @ 2.47% 4-0 @ 2.06% 4-1 @ 2.02% 4-2 @ 0.99% Other @ 2.66% Total : 51.77% | 1-1 @ 11.89% 0-0 @ 7.62% 2-2 @ 4.65% Other @ 0.89% Total : 25.04% | 0-1 @ 7.45% 1-2 @ 5.82% 0-2 @ 3.65% 1-3 @ 1.9% 2-3 @ 1.52% 0-3 @ 1.19% Other @ 1.65% Total : 23.17% |