Ayr

2 - 1

QotS

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ayr United win with a probability of 46.89%. A win for Queen of the South had a probability of 26.82% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.

The most likely scoreline for an Ayr United win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.1%) and 2-0 (8.78%). The likeliest Queen of the South win was 0-1 (8.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.46%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ayr United would win this match.