Greenock Morton
Scottish League Cup | Group Stage
Oct 6, 2020 at 7.45pm UK
Cappielow Park
Queen of the South

Morton
2 - 2
QotS

McGinty (18'), Nesbitt (68')
Strapp (57'), Salkeld (88')
FT
(aet)
Dobbie (53'), Shields (79')
Buchanan (16'), McCabe (66')
QotS win 4-2 on penalties

The Match

Match Report

Queens twice came from behind to draw 2-2 before winning the shootout 4-2.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Greenock Morton win with a probability of 48.22%. A win for Queen of the South had a probability of 27.04% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Greenock Morton win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.44%) and 2-0 (8.26%). The likeliest Queen of the South win was 0-1 (7.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.72%).

Result
Greenock MortonDrawQueen of the South
48.22%24.74%27.04%
Both teams to score 54.5%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.93%48.07%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.77%70.23%
Greenock Morton Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.02%19.98%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.84%52.16%
Queen of the South Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.11%31.89%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.66%68.34%
Score Analysis
    Greenock Morton 48.22%
    Queen of the South 27.04%
    Draw 24.73%
Greenock MortonDrawQueen of the South
1-0 @ 10.26%
2-1 @ 9.44%
2-0 @ 8.26%
3-1 @ 5.07%
3-0 @ 4.44%
3-2 @ 2.9%
4-1 @ 2.04%
4-0 @ 1.79%
4-2 @ 1.17%
Other @ 2.86%
Total : 48.22%
1-1 @ 11.72%
0-0 @ 6.37%
2-2 @ 5.4%
3-3 @ 1.1%
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 24.73%
0-1 @ 7.28%
1-2 @ 6.7%
0-2 @ 4.16%
1-3 @ 2.55%
2-3 @ 2.06%
0-3 @ 1.59%
Other @ 2.71%
Total : 27.04%