Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arbroath win with a probability of 49.25%. A draw had a probability of 25.4% and a win for Queen of the South had a probability of 25.31%.
The most likely scoreline for an Arbroath win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.38%) and 2-0 (9.06%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.09%), while for a Queen of the South win it was 0-1 (7.8%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Arbroath | Draw | Queen of the South |
| 49.25% | 25.44% | 25.31% |
| Both teams to score 50.79% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.78% | 52.22% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.07% | 73.93% |
| Arbroath Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.78% | 21.22% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.88% | 54.11% |
| Queen of the South Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.47% | 35.53% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.7% | 72.3% |
| Score Analysis |
| Arbroath | Draw | Queen of the South |
| 1-0 @ 11.68% 2-1 @ 9.38% 2-0 @ 9.06% 3-1 @ 4.84% 3-0 @ 4.68% 3-2 @ 2.51% 4-1 @ 1.88% 4-0 @ 1.81% 4-2 @ 0.97% Other @ 2.43% Total : 49.24% | 1-1 @ 12.09% 0-0 @ 7.54% 2-2 @ 4.85% Other @ 0.96% Total : 25.44% | 0-1 @ 7.8% 1-2 @ 6.26% 0-2 @ 4.04% 1-3 @ 2.16% 2-3 @ 1.67% 0-3 @ 1.39% Other @ 1.99% Total : 25.31% |