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Raith Rovers
Scottish Championship | Gameweek 1
Oct 17, 2020 at 3pm UK
Stark's Park
Arbroath

Raith Rovers
3 - 0
Arbroath

Armstrong (31'), Tumilty (36'), Hendry (43')
Tait (59'), MacDonald (78')
FT(HT: 3-0)

Virtanen (48'), O'Brien (71'), (89')
O'Brien (89')

The Match

Match Report

Dan Armstrong, Reghan Tumilty and Regan Hendry scored in a 3-0 win.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Raith Rovers win with a probability of 56.9%. A draw had a probability of 22.6% and a win for Arbroath had a probability of 20.47%.

The most likely scoreline for a Raith Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.9%) and 2-0 (9.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.71%), while for an Arbroath win it was 0-1 (5.8%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Raith Rovers would win this match.

Result
Raith RoversDrawArbroath
56.9%22.63%20.47%
Both teams to score 53.64%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.47%45.53%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.14%67.86%
Raith Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.23%15.77%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.09%44.91%
Arbroath Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.69%36.31%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.9%73.1%
Score Analysis
    Raith Rovers 56.89%
    Arbroath 20.47%
    Draw 22.62%
Raith RoversDrawArbroath
1-0 @ 10.57%
2-1 @ 9.9%
2-0 @ 9.77%
3-1 @ 6.09%
3-0 @ 6.01%
3-2 @ 3.09%
4-1 @ 2.81%
4-0 @ 2.78%
4-2 @ 1.43%
5-1 @ 1.04%
5-0 @ 1.03%
Other @ 2.39%
Total : 56.89%
1-1 @ 10.71%
0-0 @ 5.73%
2-2 @ 5.01%
3-3 @ 1.04%
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 22.62%
0-1 @ 5.8%
1-2 @ 5.43%
0-2 @ 2.94%
1-3 @ 1.83%
2-3 @ 1.69%
0-3 @ 0.99%
Other @ 1.78%
Total : 20.47%