Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Raith Rovers win with a probability of 56.9%. A draw had a probability of 22.6% and a win for Arbroath had a probability of 20.47%.
The most likely scoreline for a Raith Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.9%) and 2-0 (9.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.71%), while for an Arbroath win it was 0-1 (5.8%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Raith Rovers would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Raith Rovers | Draw | Arbroath |
| 56.9% | 22.63% | 20.47% |
| Both teams to score 53.64% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.47% | 45.53% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.14% | 67.86% |
| Raith Rovers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.23% | 15.77% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 55.09% | 44.91% |
| Arbroath Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.69% | 36.31% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.9% | 73.1% |
| Score Analysis |
| Raith Rovers | Draw | Arbroath |
| 1-0 @ 10.57% 2-1 @ 9.9% 2-0 @ 9.77% 3-1 @ 6.09% 3-0 @ 6.01% 3-2 @ 3.09% 4-1 @ 2.81% 4-0 @ 2.78% 4-2 @ 1.43% 5-1 @ 1.04% 5-0 @ 1.03% Other @ 2.39% Total : 56.89% | 1-1 @ 10.71% 0-0 @ 5.73% 2-2 @ 5.01% 3-3 @ 1.04% Other @ 0.13% Total : 22.62% | 0-1 @ 5.8% 1-2 @ 5.43% 0-2 @ 2.94% 1-3 @ 1.83% 2-3 @ 1.69% 0-3 @ 0.99% Other @ 1.78% Total : 20.47% |