Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ross County win with a probability of 39.23%. A win for Arbroath had a probability of 34.05% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ross County win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.41%) and 2-0 (6.92%). The likeliest Arbroath win was 0-1 (9.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.7%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ross County would win this match.