Scottish League Cup | Group Stage

Oct 13, 2020 at 7.45pm UK

Global Energy Stadium

Ross County
2 - 1
Arbroath

Stewart (65', 68' pen.)
Hylton (36'), Tillson (37'), Gardyne (78')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Hilson (50')
(55'), McKenna (66')

The Match

Match Report

Dale Hilson had put Arbroath in front with a brilliant free-kick four minutes into the second half in Dingwall.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ross County win with a probability of 39.23%. A win for Arbroath had a probability of 34.05% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ross County win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.41%) and 2-0 (6.92%). The likeliest Arbroath win was 0-1 (9.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.7%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ross County would win this match.

Result
Ross County	Draw	Arbroath
39.23%	26.72%	34.05%

Both teams to score 51.6%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.6%

53.4%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.06%

74.93%

Ross County Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.39%

26.61%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.16%

61.84%

Arbroath Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.31%

29.68%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.26%

65.73%

Score Analysis

Ross County 39.22%

Arbroath 34.05%

Draw 26.71%

Ross County	Draw	Arbroath
1-0 @ 10.45% 2-1 @ 8.41% 2-0 @ 6.92% 3-1 @ 3.71% 3-0 @ 3.06% 3-2 @ 2.25% 4-1 @ 1.23% 4-0 @ 1.01% Other @ 2.18% Total : 39.22%	1-1 @ 12.7% 0-0 @ 7.9% 2-2 @ 5.11% 3-3 @ 0.91% Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.71%	0-1 @ 9.59% 1-2 @ 7.71% 0-2 @ 5.83% 1-3 @ 3.12% 0-3 @ 2.36% 2-3 @ 2.07% 1-4 @ 0.95% Other @ 2.42% Total : 34.05%

Ross County2 - 1Arbroath

The Match

Match Report

Data Analysis

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Ross County
2 - 1
Arbroath