Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Queen of the South win with a probability of 39.19%. A win for Raith Rovers had a probability of 36.15% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Queen of the South win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.05%) and 2-0 (6.02%). The likeliest Raith Rovers win was 1-2 (8.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.48%). The actual scoreline of 2-5 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Queen of the South | Draw | Raith Rovers |
| 39.19% | 24.65% | 36.15% |
| Both teams to score 58.95% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.9% | 44.1% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.52% | 66.48% |
| Queen of the South Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.57% | 22.42% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.05% | 55.95% |
| Raith Rovers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.99% | 24.01% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.73% | 58.27% |
| Score Analysis |
| Queen of the South | Draw | Raith Rovers |
| 2-1 @ 8.58% 1-0 @ 8.05% 2-0 @ 6.02% 3-1 @ 4.28% 3-2 @ 3.05% 3-0 @ 3% 4-1 @ 1.6% 4-2 @ 1.14% 4-0 @ 1.12% Other @ 2.35% Total : 39.19% | 1-1 @ 11.48% 2-2 @ 6.12% 0-0 @ 5.38% 3-3 @ 1.45% Other @ 0.21% Total : 24.65% | 1-2 @ 8.19% 0-1 @ 7.68% 0-2 @ 5.48% 1-3 @ 3.9% 2-3 @ 2.91% 0-3 @ 2.61% 1-4 @ 1.39% 2-4 @ 1.04% 0-4 @ 0.93% Other @ 2.02% Total : 36.15% |