Scottish Championship Gameweek 4
Nov 7, 2020 3.00pm
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Peter Haring 22' yellowcard
  • Steven Naismith 47' goal
  • Andy Halliday 55' yellowcard
  • Liam Boyce 70' goal
  • yellowcard Robbie Deas 39'
  • goal Aaron Doran 86'

Hearts vs Inverness Caledonian Thistle - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Result

Form, Standings, Stats

Hearts

All competitions
Scottish Championship
Last game
Oct 23, 2020 7.45pm
Arbroath 0 - 1 Hearts
Goals scored
57
Top scorer
Liam Boyce

Inverness Caledonian Thistle

All competitions
Scottish Championship
Last game
Oct 31, 2020 3.00pm
Inverness 3 - 1 Arbroath
Goals scored
36
Top scorer
Nikolay Todorov

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hearts win with a probability of 57.43%. A draw had a probability of 22.1% and a win for Inverness Caledonian Thistle had a probability of 20.46%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hearts win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.91%) and 2-0 (9.46%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.39%), while for a Inverness Caledonian Thistle win it was 1-2 (5.45%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Hearts in this match.

Result

Hearts 57.43%
Draw 22.11%
Inverness Caledonian Thistle 20.46%

Both Teams to Score: 

55.35%

Goals

Over 2.5 56.74%
Under 2.5 43.25%
Over 3.5 34.35%
Under 3.5 65.65%

Hearts Goals

Over 0.5 85.18%
Under 0.5 14.82%
Over 1.5 56.89%
Under 1.5 43.11%

Inverness Caledonian Thistle Goals

Over 0.5 64.98%
Under 0.5 35.02%
Over 1.5 28.23%
Under 1.5 71.76%

Score analysis

Hearts 57.43%
Draw 22.1%
Inverness Caledonian Thistle 20.46%
Hearts
2-1 @ 9.93%
1-0 @ 9.91%
2-0 @ 9.46%
3-1 @ 6.32%
3-0 @ 6.02%
3-2 @ 3.31%
4-1 @ 3.02%
4-0 @ 2.87%
4-2 @ 1.58%
5-1 @ 1.15%
5-0 @ 1.1%
Other @ 2.77%
Total : 57.43%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.39%
2-2 @ 5.21%
0-0 @ 5.19%
3-3 @ 1.16%
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 22.1%
Inverness Caledonian Thistle
1-2 @ 5.45%
0-1 @ 5.45%
0-2 @ 2.86%
1-3 @ 1.91%
2-3 @ 1.82%
Other @ 2.97%
Total : 20.46%

Head to Head

Scottish League Cup
Oct 6, 2020 7.45pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Tynecastle Park
  • Jamie Walker 62' goal
Scottish Cup
Apr 13, 2019 12.15pm
3
0
HT : 0 0
FT Hampden Park (Glasgow)
  • Uche Ikpeazu 49' goal
  • Arnaud Djoum 60' yellowcard
  • John Souttar 66' goal
  • Sean Clare 74' goal
  • yellowcard Shaun Rooney 51'
Scottish League Cup
Jul 29, 2018 3.00pm
5
0
HT : 3 0
FT
  • Uche Ikpeazu 30' goal
  • Benjamin Garuccio 32' goal
  • Uche Ikpeazu 34' goal
  • Steven Naismith 64' goal
  • Steven Naismith 81' goal
Scottish Premiership
Feb 18, 2017 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Arnaud Djoum 64' goal
  • yellowcard Carl Tremarco 15'
  • goal Carl Tremarco 24'
  • yellowcard Jake Mulraney 36'
  • yellowcard David Raven 38'
Scottish Premiership
Oct 29, 2016 3.00pm
3
3
HT : 2 1
FT
  • David Raven 15' goal
  • Lonsana Doumbouya 32' goal
  • Aaron Doran 55' goal
  • Josh Meekings 79' yellowcard
  • Brad McKay 85' yellowcard
  • Iain Vigurs 86' yellowcard
  • goal Bjorn Johnsen 38'
  • yellowcard Faycal Rherras 50'
  • goal Faycal Rherras 51'
  • goal Arnaud Djoum 74'
  • yellowcard Perry Kitchen 92'
Scottish Premiership
Aug 20, 2016 3.00pm
5
1
HT : 2 0
FT
  • Don Cowie 7' goal
  • Conor Sammon 18' goal
  • Perry Kitchen 29' yellowcard
  • Don Cowie 47' goal
  • Sam Nicholson 78' goal
  • Sam Nicholson 79' goal
  • yellowcard Carl Tremarco 11'
  • yellowcard Jake Mulraney 12'
  • yellowcard Liam Polworth 40'
  • yellowcard Lewis Horner 77'
  • goal Ross Draper 87'