Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inverness Caledonian Thistle win with a probability of 50.52%. A draw had a probability of 24.9% and a win for Ayr United had a probability of 24.57%.
The most likely scoreline for a Inverness Caledonian Thistle win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.51%) and 2-0 (9.15%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.84%), while for an Ayr United win it was 0-1 (7.38%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Inverness Caledonian Thistle | Draw | Ayr United |
| 50.52% | 24.91% | 24.57% |
| Both teams to score 51.68% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.31% | 50.69% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.41% | 72.59% |
| Inverness Caledonian Thistle Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.93% | 20.07% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.7% | 52.3% |
| Ayr United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.66% | 35.34% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.9% | 72.1% |
| Score Analysis |
| Inverness Caledonian Thistle | Draw | Ayr United |
| 1-0 @ 11.39% 2-1 @ 9.51% 2-0 @ 9.15% 3-1 @ 5.09% 3-0 @ 4.9% 3-2 @ 2.65% 4-1 @ 2.05% 4-0 @ 1.97% 4-2 @ 1.06% Other @ 2.76% Total : 50.52% | 1-1 @ 11.84% 0-0 @ 7.09% 2-2 @ 4.95% 3-3 @ 0.92% Other @ 0.1% Total : 24.9% | 0-1 @ 7.38% 1-2 @ 6.16% 0-2 @ 3.84% 1-3 @ 2.14% 2-3 @ 1.72% 0-3 @ 1.33% Other @ 2.01% Total : 24.57% |