Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hearts win with a probability of 45.45%. A win for Greenock Morton had a probability of 29.35% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hearts win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.21%) and 0-2 (7.75%). The likeliest Greenock Morton win was 1-0 (7.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.95%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hearts would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Greenock Morton | Draw | Hearts |
| 29.35% | 25.2% | 45.45% |
| Both teams to score 54.64% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.36% | 48.64% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.24% | 70.75% |
| Greenock Morton Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.53% | 30.47% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.32% | 66.68% |
| Hearts Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.58% | 21.41% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.58% | 54.41% |
| Score Analysis |
| Greenock Morton | Draw | Hearts |
| 1-0 @ 7.75% 2-1 @ 7.1% 2-0 @ 4.61% 3-1 @ 2.81% 3-2 @ 2.17% 3-0 @ 1.83% Other @ 3.09% Total : 29.35% | 1-1 @ 11.95% 0-0 @ 6.52% 2-2 @ 5.47% 3-3 @ 1.11% Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.2% | 0-1 @ 10.05% 1-2 @ 9.21% 0-2 @ 7.75% 1-3 @ 4.73% 0-3 @ 3.98% 2-3 @ 2.81% 1-4 @ 1.82% 0-4 @ 1.53% 2-4 @ 1.08% Other @ 2.47% Total : 45.44% |