Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Queen of the South win with a probability of 51.12%. A win for Alloa Athletic had a probability of 25.66% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Queen of the South win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.97%) and 2-0 (8.03%). The likeliest Alloa Athletic win was 1-2 (6.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.79%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Queen of the South would win this match.
