Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Queen of the South win with a probability of 51.12%. A win for Alloa Athletic had a probability of 25.66% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Queen of the South win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.97%) and 2-0 (8.03%). The likeliest Alloa Athletic win was 1-2 (6.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.79%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Queen of the South would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Queen of the South | Draw | Alloa Athletic |
| 51.12% | 23.22% | 25.66% |
| Both teams to score 58.29% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.53% | 42.47% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.12% | 64.88% |
| Queen of the South Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.3% | 16.7% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 53.41% | 46.59% |
| Alloa Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.98% | 30.02% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.86% | 66.14% |
| Score Analysis |
| Queen of the South | Draw | Alloa Athletic |
| 2-1 @ 9.66% 1-0 @ 8.97% 2-0 @ 8.03% 3-1 @ 5.76% 3-0 @ 4.79% 3-2 @ 3.47% 4-1 @ 2.58% 4-0 @ 2.14% 4-2 @ 1.55% 5-1 @ 0.92% Other @ 3.24% Total : 51.12% | 1-1 @ 10.79% 2-2 @ 5.81% 0-0 @ 5.01% 3-3 @ 1.39% Other @ 0.2% Total : 23.21% | 1-2 @ 6.5% 0-1 @ 6.03% 0-2 @ 3.63% 1-3 @ 2.61% 2-3 @ 2.33% 0-3 @ 1.46% Other @ 3.1% Total : 25.66% |