Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Greenock Morton win with a probability of 63.95%. A draw had a probability of 20% and a win for Alloa Athletic had a probability of 16.08%.
The most likely scoreline for a Greenock Morton win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.92%) and 1-0 (9.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.38%), while for an Alloa Athletic win it was 1-2 (4.49%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Greenock Morton would win this match.
Result | ||
Greenock Morton | Draw | Alloa Athletic |
63.95% | 19.97% | 16.08% |
Both teams to score 54.19% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
59.3% | 40.7% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
36.91% | 63.08% |
Greenock Morton Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
87.94% | 12.06% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
62.43% | 37.56% |
Alloa Athletic Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
61.62% | 38.37% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
24.87% | 75.13% |
Score Analysis |
Greenock Morton | Draw | Alloa Athletic |
2-0 @ 10.35% 2-1 @ 9.92% 1-0 @ 9.79% 3-0 @ 7.3% 3-1 @ 6.99% 4-0 @ 3.86% 4-1 @ 3.7% 3-2 @ 3.35% 4-2 @ 1.77% 5-0 @ 1.63% 5-1 @ 1.57% Other @ 3.71% Total : 63.95% | 1-1 @ 9.38% 2-2 @ 4.75% 0-0 @ 4.63% 3-3 @ 1.07% Other @ 0.15% Total : 19.97% | 1-2 @ 4.49% 0-1 @ 4.43% 0-2 @ 2.12% 2-3 @ 1.52% 1-3 @ 1.43% Other @ 2.09% Total : 16.08% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Dundee UnitedDundee Utd | 34 | 21 | 8 | 5 | 69 | 22 | 47 | 71 |
2 | Raith Rovers | 34 | 19 | 8 | 7 | 53 | 42 | 11 | 65 |
3 | Partick ThistlePartick | 34 | 14 | 12 | 8 | 62 | 50 | 12 | 54 |
4 | AirdrieoniansAirdrieonians | 34 | 15 | 6 | 13 | 44 | 42 | 2 | 51 |
5 | Greenock MortonMorton | 34 | 12 | 8 | 14 | 42 | 43 | -1 | 44 |
6 | Dunfermline AthleticDunfermline | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 39 | 44 | -5 | 43 |
7 | Ayr UnitedAyr | 34 | 12 | 6 | 16 | 50 | 58 | -8 | 42 |
8 | Inverness Caledonian ThistleInverness | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 37 | 38 | -1 | 38 |
9 | Queen's ParkQueen's Park | 34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | 43 | 56 | -13 | 37 |
10 | Arbroath | 34 | 6 | 5 | 23 | 35 | 79 | -44 | 23 |
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