Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dundee win with a probability of 45.59%. A win for Alloa Athletic had a probability of 29.24% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dundee win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.22%) and 0-2 (7.77%). The likeliest Alloa Athletic win was 1-0 (7.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.93%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Alloa Athletic | Draw | Dundee |
| 29.24% | 25.16% | 45.59% |
| Both teams to score 54.69% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.45% | 48.55% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.32% | 70.67% |
| Alloa Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.49% | 30.5% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.28% | 66.72% |
| Dundee Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.69% | 21.31% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.74% | 54.26% |
| Score Analysis |
| Alloa Athletic | Draw | Dundee |
| 1-0 @ 7.72% 2-1 @ 7.08% 2-0 @ 4.58% 3-1 @ 2.8% 3-2 @ 2.17% 3-0 @ 1.81% Other @ 3.07% Total : 29.24% | 1-1 @ 11.93% 0-0 @ 6.5% 2-2 @ 5.48% 3-3 @ 1.12% Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.16% | 0-1 @ 10.04% 1-2 @ 9.22% 0-2 @ 7.77% 1-3 @ 4.75% 0-3 @ 4% 2-3 @ 2.82% 1-4 @ 1.84% 0-4 @ 1.55% 2-4 @ 1.09% Other @ 2.5% Total : 45.58% |