Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Queen of the South win with a probability of 41.09%. A win for Inverness Caledonian Thistle had a probability of 34.32% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Queen of the South win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.28%) and 2-0 (6.36%). The likeliest Inverness Caledonian Thistle win was 1-2 (7.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.46%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Queen of the South | Draw | Inverness Caledonian Thistle |
| 41.09% | 24.59% | 34.32% |
| Both teams to score 58.83% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.89% | 44.11% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.51% | 66.49% |
| Queen of the South Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.49% | 21.51% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.44% | 54.56% |
| Inverness Caledonian Thistle Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.96% | 25.05% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.28% | 59.72% |
| Score Analysis |
| Queen of the South | Draw | Inverness Caledonian Thistle |
| 2-1 @ 8.81% 1-0 @ 8.28% 2-0 @ 6.36% 3-1 @ 4.51% 3-0 @ 3.26% 3-2 @ 3.12% 4-1 @ 1.73% 4-0 @ 1.25% 4-2 @ 1.2% Other @ 2.57% Total : 41.09% | 1-1 @ 11.46% 2-2 @ 6.1% 0-0 @ 5.39% 3-3 @ 1.44% Other @ 0.21% Total : 24.59% | 1-2 @ 7.93% 0-1 @ 7.46% 0-2 @ 5.16% 1-3 @ 3.66% 2-3 @ 2.81% 0-3 @ 2.38% 1-4 @ 1.27% 2-4 @ 0.97% Other @ 2.66% Total : 34.32% |