Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inverness Caledonian Thistle win with a probability of 44.38%. A win for Raith Rovers had a probability of 29.85% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Inverness Caledonian Thistle win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.05%) and 2-0 (7.78%). The likeliest Raith Rovers win was 0-1 (8.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.25%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Inverness Caledonian Thistle would win this match.
Result | ||
Inverness Caledonian Thistle | Draw | Raith Rovers |
44.38% | 25.78% | 29.85% |
Both teams to score 53.07% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
49.18% | 50.83% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.29% | 72.71% |
Inverness Caledonian Thistle Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.17% | 22.83% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.45% | 56.55% |
Raith Rovers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.77% | 31.24% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.42% | 67.58% |
Score Analysis |
Inverness Caledonian Thistle | Draw | Raith Rovers |
1-0 @ 10.53% 2-1 @ 9.05% 2-0 @ 7.78% 3-1 @ 4.46% 3-0 @ 3.83% 3-2 @ 2.59% 4-1 @ 1.65% 4-0 @ 1.41% 4-2 @ 0.96% Other @ 2.12% Total : 44.37% | 1-1 @ 12.25% 0-0 @ 7.13% 2-2 @ 5.27% 3-3 @ 1.01% Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.77% | 0-1 @ 8.3% 1-2 @ 7.13% 0-2 @ 4.83% 1-3 @ 2.77% 2-3 @ 2.04% 0-3 @ 1.87% Other @ 2.91% Total : 29.85% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | FalkirkFalkirk | 17 | 12 | 2 | 3 | 33 | 14 | 19 | 38 |
2 | Livingston | 16 | 9 | 6 | 1 | 21 | 10 | 11 | 33 |
3 | Ayr UnitedAyr | 17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 28 | 17 | 11 | 31 |
4 | Partick ThistlePartick | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 18 | 11 | 7 | 26 |
5 | Queen's ParkQueen's Park | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 19 | 18 | 1 | 25 |
6 | Hamilton AcademicalHamilton | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 23 | 29 | -6 | 18 |
7 | Raith Rovers | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 15 | 21 | -6 | 18 |
8 | Greenock MortonMorton | 16 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 13 | 21 | -8 | 16 |
9 | Dunfermline AthleticDunfermline | 17 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 14 | 20 | -6 | 15 |
10 | AirdrieoniansAirdrieonians | 16 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 8 | 31 | -23 | 6 |
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