Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inverness Caledonian Thistle win with a probability of 44.38%. A win for Raith Rovers had a probability of 29.85% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Inverness Caledonian Thistle win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.05%) and 2-0 (7.78%). The likeliest Raith Rovers win was 0-1 (8.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.25%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Inverness Caledonian Thistle would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Inverness Caledonian Thistle | Draw | Raith Rovers |
| 44.38% | 25.78% | 29.85% |
| Both teams to score 53.07% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.18% | 50.83% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.29% | 72.71% |
| Inverness Caledonian Thistle Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.17% | 22.83% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.45% | 56.55% |
| Raith Rovers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.77% | 31.24% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.42% | 67.58% |
| Score Analysis |
| Inverness Caledonian Thistle | Draw | Raith Rovers |
| 1-0 @ 10.53% 2-1 @ 9.05% 2-0 @ 7.78% 3-1 @ 4.46% 3-0 @ 3.83% 3-2 @ 2.59% 4-1 @ 1.65% 4-0 @ 1.41% 4-2 @ 0.96% Other @ 2.12% Total : 44.37% | 1-1 @ 12.25% 0-0 @ 7.13% 2-2 @ 5.27% 3-3 @ 1.01% Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.77% | 0-1 @ 8.3% 1-2 @ 7.13% 0-2 @ 4.83% 1-3 @ 2.77% 2-3 @ 2.04% 0-3 @ 1.87% Other @ 2.91% Total : 29.85% |