Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Raith Rovers win with a probability of 56.48%. A draw had a probability of 22.1% and a win for Greenock Morton had a probability of 21.47%.
The most likely scoreline for a Raith Rovers win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.31%) and 2-0 (8.96%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.27%), while for a Greenock Morton win it was 1-2 (5.68%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Raith Rovers would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Raith Rovers | Draw | Greenock Morton |
| 56.48% | 22.05% | 21.47% |
| Both teams to score 57.1% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.33% | 41.67% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.93% | 64.07% |
| Raith Rovers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.41% | 14.59% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 57.33% | 42.67% |
| Greenock Morton Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.85% | 33.14% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.25% | 69.74% |
| Score Analysis |
| Raith Rovers | Draw | Greenock Morton |
| 2-1 @ 9.89% 1-0 @ 9.31% 2-0 @ 8.96% 3-1 @ 6.35% 3-0 @ 5.75% 3-2 @ 3.51% 4-1 @ 3.06% 4-0 @ 2.77% 4-2 @ 1.69% 5-1 @ 1.18% 5-0 @ 1.07% Other @ 2.97% Total : 56.48% | 1-1 @ 10.27% 2-2 @ 5.46% 0-0 @ 4.84% 3-3 @ 1.29% Other @ 0.19% Total : 22.05% | 1-2 @ 5.68% 0-1 @ 5.34% 0-2 @ 2.95% 1-3 @ 2.09% 2-3 @ 2.01% 0-3 @ 1.09% Other @ 2.32% Total : 21.47% |