Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hearts win with a probability of 72.49%. A draw had a probability of 16.8% and a win for Alloa Athletic had a probability of 10.75%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hearts win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.92%) and 2-1 (9.42%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.92%), while for an Alloa Athletic win it was 0-1 (3.33%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hearts would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Hearts | Draw | Alloa Athletic |
| 72.49% | 16.76% | 10.75% |
| Both teams to score 49.91% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.52% | 38.47% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 39.23% | 60.77% |
| Hearts Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 90.73% | 9.27% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 68.67% | 31.32% |
| Alloa Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 55.01% | 44.99% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 19.08% | 80.92% |
| Score Analysis |
| Hearts | Draw | Alloa Athletic |
| 2-0 @ 11.79% 1-0 @ 9.92% 2-1 @ 9.42% 3-0 @ 9.35% 3-1 @ 7.47% 4-0 @ 5.56% 4-1 @ 4.44% 3-2 @ 2.98% 5-0 @ 2.65% 5-1 @ 2.11% 4-2 @ 1.77% 6-0 @ 1.05% Other @ 3.96% Total : 72.48% | 1-1 @ 7.92% 0-0 @ 4.17% 2-2 @ 3.76% Other @ 0.9% Total : 16.76% | 0-1 @ 3.33% 1-2 @ 3.17% 0-2 @ 1.33% 2-3 @ 1% Other @ 1.92% Total : 10.75% |