Scottish Championship Gameweek 8
Arbroath
Dec 19, 2020 3.00pm
2
1
HT : 2 0
FT
Ayr
  • James Craigen 36' goal
  • James Craigen 38' goal
  • Miko Virtanen 58' yellowcard
  • Jason Thomson 67' yellowcard
  • Michael McKenna 86' yellowcard
  • Colin Hamilton 90'+4' yellowcard
  • goal Jack Baird 88'

Arbroath vs Ayr United - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Result

Form, Standings, Stats

Arbroath

All competitions
Scottish Championship
Last game
Dec 12, 2020 3.00pm
Arbroath 0 - 1 Alloa
Goals scored
28
Top scorer
Jack Hamilton

Ayr United

All competitions
Scottish Championship
Last game
Dec 11, 2020 7.45pm
Ayr 0 - 0 Raith Rovers
Goals scored
31
Top scorer
Cammy Smith

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arbroath win with a probability of 40.99%. A win for Ayr United had a probability of 32.84% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.

The most likely scoreline for an Arbroath win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.69%) and 2-0 (7.11%). The likeliest Ayr United win was 0-1 (8.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.44%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Arbroath would win this match.

Result

Arbroath 40.99%
Draw 26.17%
Ayr United 32.84%

Both Teams to Score: 

53.05%

Goals

Over 2.5 48.58%
Under 2.5 51.42%
Over 3.5 26.77%
Under 3.5 73.23%

Arbroath Goals

Over 0.5 75.23%
Under 0.5 24.76%
Over 1.5 40.67%
Under 1.5 59.33%

Ayr United Goals

Over 0.5 70.51%
Under 0.5 29.49%
Over 1.5 34.5%
Under 1.5 65.5%

Score analysis

Arbroath 40.98%
Draw 26.17%
Ayr United 32.84%
Arbroath
1-0 @ 10.19%
2-1 @ 8.69%
2-0 @ 7.11%
3-1 @ 4.04%
3-0 @ 3.31%
3-2 @ 2.47%
4-1 @ 1.41%
4-0 @ 1.16%
Other @ 2.61%
Total : 40.98%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.44%
0-0 @ 7.3%
2-2 @ 5.3%
3-3 @ 1.01%
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 26.17%
Ayr United
0-1 @ 8.92%
1-2 @ 7.6%
0-2 @ 5.45%
1-3 @ 3.09%
0-3 @ 2.22%
2-3 @ 2.16%
Other @ 3.41%
Total : 32.84%

Head to Head

Scottish Championship Gameweek 35
Ayr
Apr 25, 2020 3.00pm
Somerset Park
Arbroath
Scottish Championship Gameweek 25
Arbroath
Mar 17, 2020 7.45pm
Gayfield Park
Ayr
Scottish Championship Gameweek 15
Ayr
Dec 10, 2019 7.45pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT Somerset Park (Ayr)
Arbroath
  • Stephen Kelly 22' goal
  • Craig Moore 77' yellowcard
  • goal Michael McKenna 48'
  • yellowcard Luke Donnelly 78'
  • yellowcard Scott Stewart 82'
Scottish Championship Gameweek 7
Arbroath
Sep 28, 2019 3.00pm
0
3
HT : 0 3
FT
Ayr
  • Michael McKenna 33' yellowcard
  • goal Alan Forrest 12'
  • goal Alan Forrest 20'
  • goal Mark Kerr 27'
Scottish League One
Arbroath
Mar 14, 2018 7.45pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT Gayfield Park (Arbroath)
Ayr
  • Danny Denholm 45' goal
  • Scott Martin 85' yellowcard
  • Leighton McIntosh 87' yellowcard
  • goal Craig McGuffie 86'
  • yellowcard Andy Geggan 90'
Scottish Cup
Ayr
Jan 20, 2018 3.00pm
4
1
HT : 1 0
FT Somerset Park (Ayr)
Arbroath
  • Declan McDaid 8' goal
  • Lawrence Shankland 58' goal
  • Declan McDaid 84' goal
  • David Ferguson 85' yellowcard
  • Craig Moore 93' goal
  • yellowcard Colin Hamilton 62'
  • goal Ryan McCord 79'
  • yellowcard Scott Martin 85'
  • yellowcard David Hutton 85'

Form Data

Arbroath 0 - 1 Alloa
Dundee 1 - 0 Arbroath
Arbroath 1 - 3 Dunfermline
Arbroath 0 - 0 Morton
Arbroath 3 - 0 Elgin
Arbroath 1 - 1 QotS
Ayr 0 - 0 Raith Rovers
Alloa 0 - 2 Ayr
Livingston 4 - 0 Ayr
Ayr 2 - 0 Dundee
Ayr 1 - 1 Stranraer
Ayr 0 - 0 Dunfermline