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Arbroath
Ayr United
Dunfermline Athletic
Greenock Morton
Partick Thistle
Queen's Park
Raith Rovers
Ross County
St Johnstone logo
Dundee logo
Scottish Championship | Gameweek 6
Dec 5, 2020 at 3pm UK
Dens Park
Arbroath

Dundee
1 - 0
Arbroath

McGowan (35')
Adam (60'), Sow (77')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Little (29'), Hamilton (66')

The Match

Match Report

Jason Thomson almost snatched a draw for Arbroath late on.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dundee win with a probability of 57.82%. A draw had a probability of 23.1% and a win for Arbroath had a probability of 19.03%.

The most likely scoreline for a Dundee win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.73%) and 2-1 (9.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11%), while for an Arbroath win it was 0-1 (6.19%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Dundee in this match.

Result
DundeeDrawArbroath
57.82%23.14%19.03%
Both teams to score 49.71%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.39%49.6%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.37%71.63%
Dundee Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.11%16.89%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.07%46.92%
Arbroath Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.81%40.19%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.17%76.82%
Score Analysis
    Dundee 57.82%
    Arbroath 19.03%
    Draw 23.14%
DundeeDrawArbroath
1-0 @ 12.07%
2-0 @ 10.73%
2-1 @ 9.79%
3-0 @ 6.36%
3-1 @ 5.8%
4-0 @ 2.83%
3-2 @ 2.64%
4-1 @ 2.58%
4-2 @ 1.18%
5-0 @ 1.01%
5-1 @ 0.92%
Other @ 1.91%
Total : 57.82%
1-1 @ 11%
0-0 @ 6.79%
2-2 @ 4.46%
Other @ 0.89%
Total : 23.14%
0-1 @ 6.19%
1-2 @ 5.02%
0-2 @ 2.82%
1-3 @ 1.52%
2-3 @ 1.36%
Other @ 2.13%
Total : 19.03%