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Scottish League Cup | Second Round
Nov 28, 2020 at 3pm UK
Tony Macaroni Arena
Ayr United

Livingston
4 - 0
Ayr

Chalmers (4' og.), Fitzwater (6', 12'), Forrest (44')
Lawson (72'), Brown (84')
FT(HT: 4-0)

Miller (71')

The Match

Match Report

Jack Fitzwater scored his first two goals for the club as Gary Holt's former charges beat Ayr 4-0.

Team News

The midfielder has been suspended for two matches.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Scottish League Cup clash between Livingston and Ayr United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Livingston win with a probability of 46.95%. A win for Ayr United had a probability of 27.8% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Livingston win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.31%) and 2-0 (8.21%). The likeliest Ayr United win was 0-1 (7.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.99%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Livingston would win this match.

Result
LivingstonDrawAyr United
46.95%25.25%27.8%
Both teams to score 53.44%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.27%49.73%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.26%71.74%
Livingston Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.8%21.2%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.92%54.09%
Ayr United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.82%32.18%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.33%68.67%
Score Analysis
    Livingston 46.95%
    Ayr United 27.8%
    Draw 25.24%
LivingstonDrawAyr United
1-0 @ 10.58%
2-1 @ 9.31%
2-0 @ 8.21%
3-1 @ 4.81%
3-0 @ 4.24%
3-2 @ 2.73%
4-1 @ 1.87%
4-0 @ 1.65%
4-2 @ 1.06%
Other @ 2.5%
Total : 46.95%
1-1 @ 11.99%
0-0 @ 6.82%
2-2 @ 5.28%
3-3 @ 1.03%
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 25.24%
0-1 @ 7.74%
1-2 @ 6.8%
0-2 @ 4.39%
1-3 @ 2.57%
2-3 @ 1.99%
0-3 @ 1.66%
Other @ 2.66%
Total : 27.8%

How you voted: Livingston vs Ayr

Livingston
65.0%
Draw
10.0%
Ayr United
25.0%
20