Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Livingston win with a probability of 49.72%. A draw had a probability of 25.9% and a win for St Mirren had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Livingston win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.49%) and 2-1 (9.28%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.25%), while for a St Mirren win it was 0-1 (8.09%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Livingston | Draw | St Mirren |
| 49.72% | 25.88% | 24.4% |
| Both teams to score 48.65% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.41% | 54.59% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.06% | 75.93% |
| Livingston Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78% | 21.99% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.7% | 55.3% |
| St Mirren Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.37% | 37.63% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.59% | 74.41% |
| Score Analysis |
| Livingston | Draw | St Mirren |
| 1-0 @ 12.53% 2-0 @ 9.49% 2-1 @ 9.28% 3-0 @ 4.79% 3-1 @ 4.68% 3-2 @ 2.29% 4-0 @ 1.81% 4-1 @ 1.77% Other @ 3.07% Total : 49.71% | 1-1 @ 12.25% 0-0 @ 8.28% 2-2 @ 4.53% Other @ 0.82% Total : 25.88% | 0-1 @ 8.09% 1-2 @ 5.99% 0-2 @ 3.95% 1-3 @ 1.95% 2-3 @ 1.48% 0-3 @ 1.29% Other @ 1.66% Total : 24.4% |