Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Livingston win with a probability of 40.64%. A win for Motherwell had a probability of 31.19% and a draw had a probability of 28.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Livingston win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.22%) and 2-0 (7.77%). The likeliest Motherwell win was 0-1 (10.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.15%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Livingston | Draw | Motherwell |
| 40.64% | 28.16% | 31.19% |
| Both teams to score 46.52% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 40.53% | 59.46% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.17% | 79.83% |
| Livingston Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.3% | 28.69% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.48% | 64.51% |
| Motherwell Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.24% | 34.76% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.51% | 71.49% |
| Score Analysis |
| Livingston | Draw | Motherwell |
| 1-0 @ 12.45% 2-1 @ 8.22% 2-0 @ 7.77% 3-1 @ 3.42% 3-0 @ 3.24% 3-2 @ 1.81% 4-1 @ 1.07% 4-0 @ 1.01% Other @ 1.67% Total : 40.64% | 1-1 @ 13.15% 0-0 @ 9.97% 2-2 @ 4.34% Other @ 0.69% Total : 28.15% | 0-1 @ 10.53% 1-2 @ 6.95% 0-2 @ 5.57% 1-3 @ 2.45% 0-3 @ 1.96% 2-3 @ 1.53% Other @ 2.19% Total : 31.18% |