Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Edinburgh City win with a probability of 37.1%. A win for Livingston had a probability of 36.43% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Edinburgh City win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.19%) and 2-0 (6.36%). The likeliest Livingston win was 0-1 (9.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.59%). The actual scoreline of 1-5 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood.