Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hearts win with a probability of 42.3%. A win for Falkirk had a probability of 32.8% and a draw had a probability of 24.91%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hearts win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.91%) and 0-2 (6.8%). The likeliest Falkirk win was 2-1 (7.7%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.71%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood.