Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a MTK win with a probability of 38.72%. A win for Ujpest had a probability of 38.56% and a draw had a probability of 22.72%.
The most likely scoreline for a MTK win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (5.77%) and 2-0 (4.88%). The likeliest Ujpest win was 1-2 (8.21%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.73%). The actual scoreline of 3-4 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood.