Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Elgin City win with a probability of 46.83%. A win for Stranraer had a probability of 29.69% and a draw had a probability of 23.48%.
The most likely scoreline for a Elgin City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.04%) and 2-0 (6.97%). The likeliest Stranraer win was 1-2 (7.19%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.75%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood.