Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sudtirol win with a probability of 41.91%. A win for Bari had a probability of 29.93% and a draw had a probability of 28.15%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sudtirol win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.32%) and 2-0 (8.12%). The likeliest Bari win was 0-1 (10.35%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.12%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood.