Serie B
Dec 8, 2025 2.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Mirko Maric 32' goal
  • Andrea Carboni 90'+2' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Jacopo Martini 11'
  • goal Raphael Odogwu 76'
  • yellowcard Raphael Odogwu 87'

Monza vs Sudtirol - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Monza

All competitions
Last game
Nov 29, 2025 7.45pm
Juve Stabia 1 - 1 Monza
Goals scored
45
Top scorer
Andrea Petagna

Sudtirol

All competitions
Last game
Nov 29, 2025 7.45pm
Sudtirol 0 - 1 Avellino
Goals scored
29
Top scorer
Silvio Merkaj

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monza win with a probability of 46.2%. A draw had a probability of 26.92% and a win for Sudtirol had a probability of 26.88%.

The most likely scoreline for a Monza win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.91%) and 2-0 (8.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.68%) , while for a Sudtirol win it was 0-1 (9.04%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood.

Result

Monza 46.2%
Draw 26.92%
Sudtirol 26.88%

Both Teams to Score: 

47.75%

Goals

Over 2.5 43.2%
Under 2.5 56.81%
Over 3.5 22.26%
Under 3.5 77.74%
Over 4.5 9.67%
Under 4.5 90.33%

Monza Goals

Over 0.5 75.44%
Under 0.5 24.56%
Over 1.5 40.95%
Under 1.5 59.05%

Sudtirol Goals

Over 0.5 63.3%
Under 0.5 36.7%
Over 1.5 26.51%
Under 1.5 73.49%

Score analysis

Monza 46.19%
Draw 26.92%
Sudtirol 26.88%
Monza
1-0 @ 12.65%
2-1 @ 8.91%
2-0 @ 8.88%
3-1 @ 4.17%
3-0 @ 4.16%
3-2 @ 2.09%
4-1 @ 1.46%
4-0 @ 1.46%
Other @ 2.42%
Total : 46.19%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.68%
0-0 @ 9.01%
2-2 @ 4.46%
Other @ 0.76%
Total : 26.92%
Sudtirol
0-1 @ 9.04%
1-2 @ 6.36%
0-2 @ 4.53%
1-3 @ 2.13%
0-3 @ 1.51%
2-3 @ 1.49%
Other @ 1.83%
Total : 26.88%

Head to Head

Coppa Italia
Aug 9, 2024 8.15pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
ET U-Power Stadium
  • Armando Izzo 64' yellowcard
  • Giorgos Kiriakopoulos 81' yellowcard
  • Stefano Sensi 89' yellowcard
  • Gianluca Caprari 91' goal
  • yellowcard Tommaso Arrigoni 36'
  • goal Jasmin Kurtic 94'