Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Zurich win with a probability of 53.95%. A win for FC Winterthur had a probability of 24.14% and a draw had a probability of 21.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Zurich win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.92%) and 2-0 (7.76%). The likeliest FC Winterthur win was 1-2 (6.17%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.89%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood.