Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Salford City win with a probability of 43.01%. A win for Colchester United had a probability of 31.93% and a draw had a probability of 25.06%.
The most likely scoreline for a Salford City win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9%) and 2-0 (7.05%). The likeliest Colchester United win was 0-1 (7.76%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.82%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood.