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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Salford City win with a probability of 43.01%. A win for Colchester United had a probability of 31.93% and a draw had a probability of 25.06%.
The most likely scoreline for a Salford City win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9%) and 2-0 (7.05%). The likeliest Colchester United win was 0-1 (7.76%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.82%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Salford City | Draw | Colchester United |
| 43.01% | 25.06% | 31.93% |
| Both teams to score 56.41% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.08% | 46.92% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.83% | 69.17% |
| Salford City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.2% | 21.81% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.99% | 55.02% |
| Colchester United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.14% | 27.86% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.54% | 63.46% |
| Score Analysis |
| Salford City | Draw | Colchester United |
| 1-0 @ 9.25% 2-1 @ 9% 2-0 @ 7.05% 3-1 @ 4.57% 3-0 @ 3.58% 3-2 @ 2.92% 4-1 @ 1.74% 4-0 @ 1.36% 4-2 @ 1.11% Other @ 2.43% Total : 43.01% | 1-1 @ 11.82% 0-0 @ 6.08% 2-2 @ 5.75% 3-3 @ 1.24% Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.06% | 0-1 @ 7.76% 1-2 @ 7.56% 0-2 @ 4.96% 1-3 @ 3.22% 2-3 @ 2.45% 0-3 @ 2.11% 1-4 @ 1.03% Other @ 2.84% Total : 31.93% |