Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Anderlecht win with a probability of 48.25%. A win for Sint-Truiden had a probability of 27.35% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Anderlecht win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.47%) and 2-0 (8.04%). The likeliest Sint-Truiden win was 0-1 (7%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.51%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood.