Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Motherwell win with a probability of 41.52%. A win for Dundee United had a probability of 33.67% and a draw had a probability of 24.81%.
The most likely scoreline for a Motherwell win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.63%) and 0-2 (6.57%). The likeliest Dundee United win was 2-1 (7.84%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.62%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood.