Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Motherwell win with a probability of 47.28%. A win for Livingston had a probability of 28.59% and a draw had a probability of 24.13%.
The most likely scoreline for a Motherwell win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.09%) and 2-0 (7.57%). The likeliest Livingston win was 1-2 (7.02%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.29%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Motherwell | Draw | Livingston |
| 47.28% | 24.13% | 28.59% |
| Both teams to score 57.69% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.59% | 44.41% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.22% | 66.79% |
| Motherwell Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.08% | 18.92% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.58% | 50.42% |
| Livingston Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.15% | 28.85% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.28% | 64.72% |
| Score Analysis |
| Motherwell | Draw | Livingston |
| 2-1 @ 9.41% 1-0 @ 9.09% 2-0 @ 7.57% 3-1 @ 5.22% 3-0 @ 4.2% 3-2 @ 3.24% 4-1 @ 2.17% 4-0 @ 1.75% 4-2 @ 1.35% Other @ 3.28% Total : 47.28% | 1-1 @ 11.29% 2-2 @ 5.85% 0-0 @ 5.46% 3-3 @ 1.34% Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.13% | 1-2 @ 7.02% 0-1 @ 6.79% 0-2 @ 4.22% 1-3 @ 2.91% 2-3 @ 2.42% 0-3 @ 1.75% 1-4 @ 0.9% Other @ 2.59% Total : 28.59% |