Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Motherwell win with a probability of 47.28%. A win for Livingston had a probability of 28.59% and a draw had a probability of 24.13%.
The most likely scoreline for a Motherwell win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.09%) and 2-0 (7.57%). The likeliest Livingston win was 1-2 (7.02%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.29%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood.