Scottish Premiership
Dec 6, 2025 3.00pm

Motherwell vs Livingston - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Motherwell

All competitions
Scottish Premiership
Last game
Dec 3, 2025 7.45pm
Falkirk 0 - 0 Motherwell
Goals scored
48
Top scorer
Tawanda Maswanhise

Livingston

All competitions
Scottish Premiership
Last game
Dec 3, 2025 7.45pm
Livingston 0 - 0 Hibernian
Goals scored
28
Top scorer
Robbie Muirhead

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Motherwell win with a probability of 46.48%. A win for Livingston has a probability of 29.32% and a draw has a probability of 24.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Motherwell win is 2-1 with a probability of 9.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (8.95%) and 2-0 (7.39%). The likeliest Livingston win is 1-2 (7.15%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.31%).

Result

Motherwell 46.48%
Draw 24.2%
Livingston 29.32%

Both Teams to Score: 

57.99%

Goals

Over 2.5 55.76%
Under 2.5 44.24%
Over 3.5 33.38%
Under 3.5 66.62%
Over 4.5 17.07%
Under 4.5 82.93%

Motherwell Goals

Over 0.5 80.82%
Under 0.5 19.18%
Over 1.5 49.15%
Under 1.5 50.85%

Livingston Goals

Over 0.5 71.75%
Under 0.5 28.26%
Over 1.5 36.03%
Under 1.5 63.97%

Score analysis

Motherwell 46.48%
Draw 24.2%
Livingston 29.32%
Motherwell
2-1 @ 9.34%
1-0 @ 8.95%
2-0 @ 7.39%
3-1 @ 5.14%
3-0 @ 4.07%
3-2 @ 3.25%
4-1 @ 2.12%
4-0 @ 1.68%
4-2 @ 1.34%
Other @ 3.21%
Total : 46.48%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.31%
2-2 @ 5.9%
0-0 @ 5.42%
3-3 @ 1.37%
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 24.2%
Livingston
1-2 @ 7.15%
0-1 @ 6.85%
0-2 @ 4.33%
1-3 @ 3.01%
2-3 @ 2.49%
0-3 @ 1.82%
Other @ 3.68%
Total : 29.32%

Head to Head

Scottish Premiership
Oct 25, 2025 3.00pm
Scottish Premiership
Oct 25, 2025 3.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 0
FT
Scottish Premiership Gameweek 35
May 4, 2024 3.00pm
4
1
HT : 4 0
FT Fir Park
  • Theo Bair 21' goal
  • Theo Bair 21' goal
  • Sam Nicholson 45'+2' goal
  • Sam Nicholson 45'+2' goal
  • Theo Bair 68' goal
  • Lennon Miller 70' yellowcard
  • Dan Casey 74' goal
  • Davor Zdravkovski 85' yellowcard
  • goal Jon Nouble 77'
Scottish Premiership Gameweek 28
Feb 28, 2024 8.00pm
1
3
HT : 1 0
FT Tony Macaroni Arena
  • Tete Yengi 3' goal
  • Tete Yengi 90'+5' yellowcard
  • goal Sam Nicholson 49'
  • goal Blair Spittal 71'
  • yellowcard Dan Casey 74'
  • goal Jack Vale 87'
Scottish Premiership Gameweek 21
Dec 30, 2023 3.00pm
3
1
HT : 3 1
FT Fir Park
  • Blair Spittal 14' goal
  • Theo Bair 19' goal
  • Theo Bair 35' goal
  • Mika Biereth 45' yellowcard
  • Brodie Spencer 59' yellowcard
  • Bevis Mugabi 71' yellowcard
  • Callum Slattery 84' yellowcard
  • goal Scott Pittman 23'
  • yellowcard Michael Devlin 39'
  • yellowcard Jason Holt 43'
  • yellowcard Bruce Anderson 86'
Scottish Premiership Gameweek 8
Oct 7, 2023 3.00pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT Tony Macaroni Arena
  • Bruce Anderson 53' goal
  • Sean Kelly 62' goal
  • Jason Holt 90'+3' yellowcard
  • redcard Lennon Miller 45'+1'
  • yellowcard Brodie Spencer 69'
  • yellowcard Conor Wilkinson 90'+4'
  • yellowcard Dan Casey 90'+4'