Scottish Premiership Gameweek 17
Jan 14, 2026 7.45pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT Tynecastle Park
  • Lawrence Shankland 60' goal
  • Pierre Landry Kabore 67' yellowcard
  • Tómas Bent Magnússon 68' yellowcard
  • Jamie McCart 68' yellowcard
  • Frankie Kent 74' yellowcard
  • Tómas Bent Magnússon 80' goal
  • Jordi Altena 90'+4' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Dan N'Lundulu 57'
  • yellowcard Malik Dijksteel 57'
  • yellowcard Allan Campbell 66'
  • yellowcard Jayden Richardson 81'

Hearts vs St Mirren - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Hearts

All competitions
Scottish Premiership
Last game
Jan 11, 2026 2.00pm
Dundee 0 - 0 Hearts
Goals scored
41
Top scorer
Lawrence Shankland

St Mirren

All competitions
Scottish Premiership
Last game
Jan 10, 2026 3.00pm
St Mirren 0 - 0 Falkirk
Goals scored
18
Top scorer
Mikael Mandron

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hearts win with a probability of 65.59%. A draw had a probability of 20.34% and a win for St Mirren had a probability of 14.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hearts win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.66%) and 2-1 (10.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.67%) , while for a St Mirren win it was 0-1 (4.96%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood.

Result

Hearts 65.59% (+65.59)
Draw 20.34% (+20.34)
St Mirren 14.1% (+14.10)

Both Teams to Score: 

48.68% (+48.68)

Goals

Over 1.5 76.39% (+76.39)
Under 1.5 23.61% (+23.61)
Over 2.5 53.15% (+53.15)
Under 2.5 46.85% (+46.85)
Over 3.5 30.54% (+30.54)
Under 3.5 69.46% (+69.46)
Over 4.5 19.27% (+19.27)
Under 4.5 80.73% (+80.73)

First Half Winner

Hearts 48.89% (+48.89)
Draw 35.77% (+35.78)
St Mirren 15.34% (+15.34)

Team To Score First

Hearts 67.41% (+67.41)
No Goal 6.18% (+6.18)
St Mirren 26.41% (+26.41)

Corners

Over 8 70.03% (+70.03)
Equal 8 9.81% (+9.81)
Under 8 20.17% (+20.18)
Over 9 58.96% (+58.96)
Equal 9 11.06% (+11.06)
Under 9 29.97% (+29.97)
Over 10.5 47.56% (+47.56)
Under 10.5 52.44% (+52.44)

Hearts Goals

Over 1.5 58.64% (+58.64)
Under 1.5 41.36% (+41.36)
Over 2.5 31.63% (+31.63)
Under 2.5 68.37% (+68.37)
Over 3.5 13.64% (+13.64)
Under 3.5 86.36% (+86.36)

St Mirren Goals

Over 0.5 48.25% (+48.25)
Under 0.5 51.75% (+51.75)
Over 1.5 16.65% (+16.65)
Under 1.5 83.35% (+83.35)
Over 2.5 4.13% (+4.13)
Under 2.5 95.87% (+95.87)
Over 3.5 0.93% (+0.93)
Under 3.5 99.07% (+99.07)

Score analysis

Hearts 65.6%
Draw 20.34%
St Mirren 14.1%
Hearts
1-0 @ 12.51%
2-0 @ 11.66%
2-1 @ 10.5%
3-0 @ 7.84%
3-1 @ 6.47%
3-2 @ 3.02%
Other @ 13.6% (+13.60)
Total : 65.6%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.67%
0-0 @ 6.18%
2-2 @ 3.79%
Other @ 0.04% (+0.04)
Total : 20.34%
St Mirren
0-1 @ 4.96%
1-2 @ 3.8%
0-2 @ 1.91%
2-3 @ 1.06%
1-3 @ 1.01%
Other @ 0.89% (+0.89)
Total : 14.1%

Head to Head

Scottish Premiership
Dec 13, 2025 3.00pm
Scottish Premiership
Oct 29, 2025 7.45pm
2
2
HT : 0 0
FT
Scottish Premiership
Oct 29, 2025 7.45pm
Scottish League Cup
Aug 16, 2025 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
ET
Scottish Premiership Gameweek 28
Feb 26, 2025 7.45pm
3
1
HT : 0 1
FT Tynecastle Park
  • James Wilson 56' goal
  • Calem Nieuwenhof 63' goal
  • Kenneth Vargas 90'+5' goal
  • goal Mikael Mandron 37'
  • yellowcard Caolan Boyd-Munce 52'
  • yellowcard Mikael Mandron 67'
  • yellowcard Killian Phillips 74'
  • yellowcard Mark O'Hara 80'
Scottish Cup
Feb 10, 2025 7.45pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
ET The Smisa Stadium
  • Mikael Mandron 22' goal
  • Alex Gogic 90'+10' yellowcard
  • Oisin Smyth 120'+1' yellowcard
  • Marcus Fraser 127' yellowcard
  • goal Calem Nieuwenhof 85'