Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hearts win with a probability of 65.59%. A draw had a probability of 20.34% and a win for St Mirren had a probability of 14.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hearts win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.66%) and 2-1 (10.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.67%) , while for a St Mirren win it was 0-1 (4.96%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood.