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Scottish Premiership | Gameweek 19
Dec 27, 2025 at 12.30pm UK
 
Hearts logo

vs.

Coverage of the Scottish Premiership clash between Hibernian and Hearts.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Dundee Utd 1-1 Hibernian
Saturday, December 20 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: Hearts 2-1 Rangers
Sunday, December 21 at 1.30pm in Scottish Premiership

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Hearts win with a probability of 46.54%. A win for Hibernian has a probability of 29.05% and a draw has a probability of 24.42%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hearts win is 1-2 with a probability of 9.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-1 (9.27%) and 0-2 (7.55%). The likeliest Hibernian win is 2-1 (7.1%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.47%).

Result
HibernianDrawHearts
29.05% (0.027000000000001 0.03)24.42% (0.029 0.03)46.54% (-0.056000000000004 -0.06)
Both teams to score 57.05% (-0.070999999999998 -0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.61% (-0.10400000000001 -0.1)45.39% (0.104 0.1)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.27% (-0.099999999999994 -0.1)67.73% (0.099000000000004 0.1)
Hibernian Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.97% (-0.031999999999996 -0.03)29.03% (0.032 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.07% (-0.041000000000004 -0.04)64.93% (0.039999999999992 0.04)
Hearts Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.38% (-0.064999999999998 -0.06)19.61% (0.065000000000001 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.43% (-0.107 -0.11)51.56% (0.107 0.11)
Score Analysis
    Hibernian 29.05%
    Hearts 46.54%
    Draw 24.41%
HibernianDrawHearts
2-1 @ 7.1% (0.0039999999999996 0)
1-0 @ 7.04% (0.024 0.02)
2-0 @ 4.36% (0.012 0.01)
3-1 @ 2.93% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-2 @ 2.38% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
3-0 @ 1.8% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-1 @ 0.91% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 2.55%
Total : 29.05%
1-1 @ 11.47% (0.020000000000001 0.02)
2-2 @ 5.78% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
0-0 @ 5.69% (0.026 0.03)
3-3 @ 1.29% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 24.41%
1-2 @ 9.34% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
0-1 @ 9.27% (0.021999999999998 0.02)
0-2 @ 7.55% (0.0019999999999998 0)
1-3 @ 5.07% (-0.013 -0.01)
0-3 @ 4.1% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
2-3 @ 3.14% (-0.011 -0.01)
1-4 @ 2.07% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
0-4 @ 1.67% (-0.006 -0.01)
2-4 @ 1.28% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 3.04%
Total : 46.54%

Head to Head
Oct 4, 2025 5.45pm
Mar 2, 2025 12.30pm
gameweek 29
Hibernian
2-1
Hearts
Boyle (6'), Iredale (74')
Boyle (58')
Grant (9')
Shankland (45+2')
Dec 26, 2024 12.30pm
gameweek 19
Hearts
1-2
Hibernian
Bushiri (45+2' og.)
Devlin (28'), Halkett (71')
Rowles (9' og.), Gayle (78')
Bushiri (35')
Oct 27, 2024 12pm
gameweek 9
Hibernian
1-1
Hearts
Kukharevych (65')
Triantis (4'), Boyle (39')
Wilson (87')
Devlin (64'), Penrice (75'), Grant (83')