Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hearts win with a probability of 46.12%. A win for Hibernian had a probability of 29.41% and a draw had a probability of 24.47%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hearts win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.24%) and 0-2 (7.48%). The likeliest Hibernian win was 2-1 (7.16%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.49%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood.