Scottish Premiership Gameweek 22
Jan 11, 2026 2.00pm
Kilmac Stadium at Dens Park

Dundee vs Hearts - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Dundee

All competitions
Scottish Premiership
Last game
Jan 3, 2026 3.00pm
Dundee Utd 0 - 0 Dundee
Goals scored
21
Top scorer
Yan Dhanda

Hearts

All competitions
Scottish Premiership
Last game
Jan 3, 2026 3.00pm
Hearts 1 - 0 Livingston
Goals scored
41
Top scorer
Lawrence Shankland

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Hearts win with a probability of 53.52%. A win for Dundee has a probability of 23.94% and a draw has a probability of 22.51%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hearts win is 1-2 with a probability of 9.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-1 (9.39%) and 0-2 (8.77%). The likeliest Dundee win is 2-1 (5.97%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (10.47%).

Result

Dundee 23.94%
Draw 22.51%
Hearts 53.52%

Both Teams to Score: 

58.07%

Goals

Over 1.5 80.12%
Under 1.5 19.88%
Over 2.5 57.61%
Under 2.5 42.39%
Over 3.5 35.94%
Under 3.5 64.06%
Over 4.5 21.72%
Under 4.5 78.28%

First Half Winner

Dundee 19.01%
Draw 38.12%
Hearts 42.87%

Team To Score First

Dundee 30.5%
No Goal 4.89%
Hearts 64.61%

Corners

Over 8 63.06%
Equal 8 10.4%
Under 8 26.54%
Over 9 52.02%
Equal 9 11.03%
Under 9 36.94%
Over 10.5 41.24%
Under 10.5 58.76%

Dundee Goals

Over 1.5 29.13%
Under 1.5 70.87%
Over 2.5 10.73%
Under 2.5 89.27%
Over 3.5 3.31%
Under 3.5 96.69%

Hearts Goals

Over 0.5 81.9%
Under 0.5 18.1%
Over 1.5 53.58%
Under 1.5 46.42%
Over 2.5 27.45%
Under 2.5 72.55%
Over 3.5 11.32%
Under 3.5 88.68%

Score analysis

Dundee 23.94%
Draw 22.52%
Hearts 53.51%
Dundee
2-1 @ 5.97%
1-0 @ 5.57%
2-0 @ 3.26%
3-1 @ 2.49%
3-2 @ 2.3%
3-0 @ 1.24%
Other @ 3.11%
Total : 23.94%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.47%
2-2 @ 5.57%
0-0 @ 4.89%
3-3 @ 1.39%
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 22.52%
Hearts
1-2 @ 9.49%
0-1 @ 9.39%
0-2 @ 8.77%
1-3 @ 6.17%
0-3 @ 4.97%
2-3 @ 3.6%
Other @ 11.12%
Total : 53.51%

Head to Head

Scottish Premiership
Nov 1, 2025 3.00pm
Scottish Premiership
Nov 1, 2025 3.00pm
4
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Scottish Premiership Gameweek 34
Apr 26, 2025 3.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT Tynecastle Park
  • Elton Kabangu 43' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Seb Palmer-Houlden 27'
  • goal Simon Murray 38'
  • yellowcard Trevor Carson 75'
  • yellowcard Lyall Cameron 88'
  • yellowcard Clark Robertson 90'+6'
Scottish Cup
Mar 7, 2025 7.45pm
3
1
HT : 1 0
FT Tynecastle Park
  • Sander Kartum 27' goal
  • Simon Murray 64' goal
  • Sander Kartum 68' goal
  • Calem Nieuwenhof 81' yellowcard
  • goal Joe Shaughnessy 51'
  • yellowcard Mohamad Sylla 56'
Scottish Premiership Gameweek 25
Feb 1, 2025 3.00pm
0
6
HT : 0 2
FT Kilmac Stadium at Dens Park
  • Imari Samuels 38' yellowcard
  • goal Lawrence Shankland 15'
  • goal Blair Spittal 17'
  • goal Elton Kabangu 51'
  • goal Musa Drammeh 67'
  • goal Elton Kabangu 77'
  • goal Kenneth Vargas 90'+2'
Scottish Premiership Gameweek 16
Dec 7, 2024 3.00pm
2
0
HT : 2 0
FT Tynecastle Park
  • Lawrence Shankland 21' goal
  • Lawrence Shankland 31' goal
  • Lawrence Shankland 62' yellowcard
  • James Penrice 89' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Josh Mulligan 84'
  • yellowcard Simon Murray 86'
  • yellowcard Ethan Ingram 90'+1'